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To reverse a decade of deteriorating total factor performance, local labour market policy is shifting from simple job production to managing active labor force shifts. Federal governments and companies are scaling short, modular training programs and micro-credentials in data analytics and digital operations to equip employees for emerging functions. Workplace-based knowing and apprenticeship-style pathways are becoming more common as firms incorporate AI tools into everyday workflows.
With oil prices anticipated to average $55-60 per barrel in 2026, local governments are intensifying their focus on expenditure discipline and private capital mobilisation. Fiscal policy is pivoting towards the monetisation of state-owned properties in logistics, energies, and desalination to reroute funds toward higher-impact financial investments. While loaning by means of sukuk and sustainability-linked bonds is anticipated to increase to money tactical deficits, the focus remains on reinforcing non-oil earnings frameworks.
PwC Middle East financial policy and strategy partner Jing Teow said: "Having currently mobilised capital and policy at scale, GCC federal governments are now concentrated on shipment. In 2026, the priority is enhancing financial durability through more protected trade and investment relationships, effective AI release, managed workforce transitions and disciplined fiscal policy in a more challenging and fragmented global environment.".
Saudi Arabia and UAE are poised to lead the Gulf area's economic growth in 2026, supported by strong private-sector efficiency, resilient domestic need and restored investment momentum, according to the most recent ICAEW Economic Insight Q4 2025 report, produced by Oxford Economics. The GCC is anticipated to surpass most global regions peers next year, with regional GDP forecast to grow by 4.4%. Throughout the GCC, non-energy activity is projected to expand by 4.1% in 2026, driven by strong labour markets, enhancing credit conditions and rising investment in technology and AI-related infrastructure.
Although oil profits will be under pressure in the first half of 2026, production is anticipated to rise again in the second half of 2026, supporting the area's medium-term outlook, it mentioned. Saudi Arabia will stay a significant contributor to GCC momentum, with GDP projection to grow 4.3% in 2026.
Growth will be supported by industrial growth and policy reforms, consisting of eased foreign ownership rules that intend to stimulate more investment. The fiscal deficit is forecasted to broaden to 5.6% of GDP next year in the middle of softer oil prices, while the recent five-year lease freeze in Riyadh intends to relieve inflationary pressures, though it may constrain future real estate supply.
Strong domestic fundamentalsThe UAE is also placed for another strong year of efficiency, with GDP projection to increase 5.6% in 2026 as non-oil sectors continue to broaden. Tourist, trade and monetary services remain crucial development chauffeurs, supported by population growth and continual domestic demand. Dubai's economy grew 4.4% in the first half of 2025, reflecting broad-based non-oil strength.
Oil production is anticipated to get again in the 2nd half of 2026, complementing ongoing investment in facilities, technology and worldwide trade collaborations. Hanadi Khalife, the Head of Middle East, ICAEW, stated: "This quarter's outlook enhances how far the GCC has actually can be found in structure varied, resilient and globally competitive economies.
Evaluating Industrial Strategy Models across the GCCScott Livermore, ICAEW Economic Advisor, and Chief Economic Expert and Handling Director, Oxford Economics Middle East, stated: "Saudi Arabia and the UAE are going into 2026 with strong structures. Saudi non-oil activity is acquiring pace, supported by robust need and increasing financial investment, even as fiscal pressures increase.""The UAE continues to take advantage of strong domestic principles, a sharp uplift in government costs and sustained diversification efforts.
What distinguishes 2026 from preceding years is not simply the acceleration of technological change, though that acceleration is real, but rather a basic shift in how business conceive of their GCCs' function. The is anticipated to grow to 4 hundred thirteen billion dollars by 2040, however this development masks a more extensive improvement.
Rather, they ask whether these centers drive development, own profit-and-loss obligation, and add to competitive distinction. In 2026, the most effective GCCs will behave like internal startups, nimble, cross-functional, insight-driven, and deeply lined up with worldwide service results. This shift from execution to ownership represents perhaps the single most significant strategic recalibration in the GCC design's advancement.
This week, we're assembling more than 3000 conferences in between investors and 119 Gulf-listed business with a combined value of $2.4 trillion at the HSBC GCC Exchanges Conference 2026, in London. We're bringing together financiers, companies, exchanges, and policymakers to discuss what is altering in the area, and what follows, including the expansion and ongoing advancement of the Gulf's capital markets, and the area's growing role in global networks of capital and trade.
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