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How to Maintain a Competitive Edge in Dubai

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Company news and financial news, analysis, viewpoint and statistics covering the 6 Gulf Corporation Council members Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the UAE

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Financial development across the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) is set to speed up in 2026, with the area projected to outshine its 2025 efficiency in spite of muted oil incomes and ongoing worldwide uncertainties. According to a brand-new Oxford Economics research study briefing, GCC GDP development is expected to increase to 4.4 per cent in 2026, up from 4 per cent in 2025, reflecting a durable nonenergy sector, strong customer dynamics, and gradually improving oil output.

However the most current forecasts recommend that Gulf economies are now wellpositioned to restore momentum, buoyed by enhancing domestic need and a broadly steady international backdrop. The report highlights GCC customers as a major motorist of the area's financial performance heading into next year. Low inflation, robust labour markets, and growing genuine disposable earnings are expected to sustain a rise in customer costs across the Gulf.

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Credit growth is likewise anticipated to stay elevated as access to monetary services broadens. With GCC reserve banks anticipated to follow expected US Federal Reserve rate cuts due to the region's dollar pegs, obtaining expenses are likely to decline, giving homes and organizations even more impetus to spend and invest. While the nonoil sector continues to anchor the area's durability, the GCC's hydrocarbon outlook presents a mixed photo.

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This could weigh on firsthalf growth, particularly for economies more based on oil extraction. However, Oxford Economics forecasts a rebound later in 2026, with Opec+ members expected to resume raising production as inventories tighten and worldwide demand improves. Qatar, on the other hand, stands apart as a local outperformer, with significant expansions in gas production and exports expected to lift its general financial performance.

Saudi Arabia's 2026 budget expects a 6 per cent cut in capital investment as the kingdom aims to narrow its financial deficit by 2 portion points. The report keeps in mind that these cuts might not materialise fully if countercyclical spending measures are triggered to support development. By contrast, more varied economies such as the UAE and Qatar are expected to continue advancing their development agendas.

Regardless of shortterm risks connected to oil prices and worldwide need, the GCC's 2026 financial outlook is specified by strength in basics: durable customers, robust nonenergy sectors, enhancing oil dynamics, and strategic financial preparation. With these factors lining up, the area is getting ready for among its most well balanced durations of growth recently anchored by a clear upward trajectory in GDP development.

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RIYADH: Gulf Cooperation Council local economies are expected to remain resilient in 2026, driven by strong domestic demand and a broadly consistent global economy, according to an analysis. In its newest report, Oxford Economics highlighted that the real gross domestic product of the GCC region is expected to broaden by 4.4 percent in 2026, up from the forecasted 4 percent this year.

US trade policy under President Donald Trump has had no noteworthy effect on regional development, and non-energy sectors have sustained their robust momentum," stated Oxford Economics. It included: "Meanwhile, oil production has gradually increased, supplying a boost to the region's economies. We anticipate GCC development will increase to 4.4 percent in 2026, from 4 percent this year."In November, the GCC Statistical Center stated that financial development in the area is set to accelerate to 4.3 percent by 2027, driven by broadening non-oil sectors.

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Non-oil activities accounted for 73.2 percent of overall GDP, up from 70.6 percent at the end of 2024, highlighting the region's continued progress towards diversity. According to Oxford Economics, GCC customers will be standout performers in 2026 and are expected to exceed their worldwide peers. Oxford Economics said that low inflation has actually helped secure growth in genuine disposable earnings, which has actually likewise been supported by strong demand and extremely low unemployment rates."We do not picture any let-up, as federal governments continue to promote higher foreign direct investment in their push to diversify their economies far from oil and gas," the report added.

In December, the IMF further said that heading inflation is anticipated to remain below 2 percent in Bahrain, Oman, and Qatar, near to 2 percent in the Kingdom and the UAE, and slightly above 2 percent in Kuwait in 20252026. According to Oxford Economics, credit development is anticipated to remain elevated in the GCC area during 2026, as access to financial services is expected to grow and loaning is projected to be supported by more cuts in interest rates."Owing to their currency pegs to the US dollar, GCC reserve banks are expected to follow the United States Federal Reserve by relieving financial policy even more, which in turn will reduce financial obligation servicing costs and increase non reusable income and need," said the report.