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To reverse a decade of deteriorating overall factor performance, local labour market policy is shifting from basic job production to managing active workforce transitions. Federal governments and employers are scaling short, modular training programs and micro-credentials in data analytics and digital operations to gear up employees for emerging roles. Workplace-based learning and apprenticeship-style paths are becoming more typical as firms integrate AI tools into day-to-day workflows.
With oil prices anticipated to average $55-60 per barrel in 2026, regional governments are heightening their focus on expenditure discipline and private capital mobilisation. Fiscal policy is rotating towards the monetisation of state-owned possessions in logistics, energies, and desalination to reroute funds towards higher-impact investments. While borrowing by means of sukuk and sustainability-linked bonds is anticipated to increase to money strategic deficits, the focus stays on enhancing non-oil profits structures.
PwC Middle East financial policy and method partner Jing Teow stated: "Having currently mobilised capital and policy at scale, GCC federal governments are now concentrated on delivery. In 2026, the concern is strengthening financial resilience through more safe and secure trade and investment relationships, effective AI implementation, managed workforce transitions and disciplined fiscal policy in a more tough and fragmented worldwide environment.".
Saudi Arabia and UAE are poised to lead the Gulf region's economic growth in 2026, supported by strong private-sector performance, resilient domestic need and renewed financial investment momentum, according to the current ICAEW Economic Insight Q4 2025 report, produced by Oxford Economics. The GCC is anticipated to exceed most worldwide areas peers next year, with regional GDP projection to grow by 4.4%. Across the GCC, non-energy activity is projected to broaden by 4.1% in 2026, driven by strong labour markets, improving credit conditions and rising financial investment in innovation and AI-related facilities.
Oil revenues will be under pressure in the first half of 2026, production is expected to rise once again in the 2nd half of 2026, supporting the region's medium-term outlook, it stated. Saudi Arabia will stay a major contributor to GCC momentum, with GDP forecast to grow 4.3% in 2026.
Development will be supported by industrial growth and policy reforms, including alleviated foreign ownership rules that intend to stimulate further financial investment. The financial deficit is forecasted to widen to 5.6% of GDP next year amidst softer oil rates, while the recent five-year rent freeze in Riyadh intends to reduce inflationary pressures, though it might constrain future housing supply.
Strong domestic fundamentalsThe UAE is also placed for another strong year of performance, with GDP forecast to rise 5.6% in 2026 as non-oil sectors continue to expand. Tourist, trade and financial services remain key growth chauffeurs, supported by population growth and sustained domestic demand. Dubai's economy grew 4.4% in the very first half of 2025, reflecting broad-based non-oil strength.
Oil production is anticipated to select up again in the 2nd half of 2026, complementing continuous investment in facilities, technology and international trade collaborations. Hanadi Khalife, the Head of Middle East, ICAEW, said: "This quarter's outlook strengthens how far the GCC has can be found in structure varied, resilient and globally competitive economies.
Scott Livermore, ICAEW Economic Consultant, and Chief Economic Expert and Managing Director, Oxford Economics Middle East, said: "Saudi Arabia and the UAE are getting in 2026 with strong foundations. Saudi non-oil activity is acquiring pace, supported by robust need and rising investment, even as financial pressures increase.""The UAE continues to benefit from strong domestic principles, a sharp uplift in government costs and sustained diversification efforts.
How to Utilize Market Intelligence for GrowthWhat differentiates 2026 from preceding years is not merely the velocity of technological modification, though that velocity is genuine, but rather a basic shift in how business develop of their GCCs' function. The is anticipated to grow to 4 hundred thirteen billion dollars by 2040, but this growth masks a more profound improvement.
Rather, they ask whether these centers drive innovation, own profit-and-loss duty, and contribute to competitive distinction. In 2026, the most successful GCCs will behave like internal startups, nimble, cross-functional, insight-driven, and deeply lined up with international business outcomes. This shift from execution to ownership represents perhaps the single most considerable tactical recalibration in the GCC design's advancement.
This week, we're convening more than 3000 meetings in between financiers and 119 Gulf-listed business with a combined worth of $2.4 trillion at the HSBC GCC Exchanges Conference 2026, in London. We're uniting financiers, companies, exchanges, and policymakers to discuss what is changing in the area, and what comes next, consisting of the growth and continuous advancement of the Gulf's capital markets, and the area's growing function in international networks of capital and trade.
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