Strategic Advice On Managing GCC Market Complexity

Israel reacted with alarm to both the U.S. decision to raise sanctions on Syria and President Trump's meeting with Ahmed al-Sharaa. Prime Minister Netanyahu supposedly asked President Trump not to lift Syria sanctions in advance of Trump's trip to the region. Because the fall of the Assad regime in December 2024, Israel has been careful of the former jihadist now in control in Damascus.

It has actually also deployed troops in southern Syria, inhabiting an increasing area beyond the demilitarized zone separating the two countries. Going forward, Israel will stay wary of the Sharaa federal government and will likely continue to apply military pressure on Syria, including a broadened occupation of southern Syria and occasional air campaign.

Yet, Israel's openness to the Trump administration's efforts to broker a nonaggression pact between Israel and Syria remains an open question. Rather, Syria might end up being a locus of local power competition between Israel and Turkey as both seek to apply their influence over Syria's trajectory. Considering that the fall of Assad in December 2024, Saudi Arabia has lobbied hard for the United States to lift Syria sanctions, citing them as a key barrier to the country's reconstruction.

For MBS, the U.S. decision stood as a crucial success emerging from Trump's journey. Moving forward, Saudi Arabia will likely encourage the United States to continue along its course towards normalization with Syria. It may promote the repeal of the Caesar sanctions, which must be undertaken by Congress. Riyadh might also push the United States to control Israel, should it continue with aggressive military action in Syria.

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, with no tip of a shift in policy. Going forward, Netanyahu can be anticipated to continue along the exact same trajectory in Gaza, specifically because a remarkable shift in U.S.

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On the contrary, as the international outcry against ProtestVersus actions in Gaza grows and with an increasing number of U.S. allies moving to declare a State state, Israel is likely to most likely its position further, even more by the prospect of possibility U.S. ongoing.

Trump's proposition and reiterated its rejection to normalize relations with Israel in the lack of considerable development toward the creation of a Palestinian state. The kingdom has also highly slammed Israel for the lack of appropriate aid flowing into Gaza.

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Its leading function in promoting a two-state option at the 80th UN General Assembly stands as its most popular effort in this regard. The kingdom will likely continue its behind-the-scenes lobbying of the United States to pressure Israel to relent on these needs, holding out on any progress towards normalization with Israel in the absence of motion on these concerns.

Driving Operational Change for the 2026 GCC

Its engagement in the Middle East is shaping the contours of the emerging local orderwhether by default or style. Specifically, its decisions on Iran, Syria, and Gaza all touch on core challenges in the region and hold the possible to move each in a favorable direction. Peril and deepening conflict stand on the flip side of each chance.

As worldwide trade patterns realign, a brand-new financial investment passage is taking shape, linking capital from the Gulf to Latin America. Sovereign wealth funds, conglomerates, and household workplaces from the Gulf Cooperation Council ("") are investing billions across Latin America's energy, agriculture, fintech, and facilities sectors. Trade between Mexico and GCC states rose more than 33% in between 2021 and 2022, while non-oil trade with the UAE has actually nearly folded the past decade.

3 Business sentiment reflects this momentum64% of Latin American executives plan to expand engagement with the Gulf, specifically in agriculture, renewable resource, and digital services. 4 Highlighting this momentum, Saudi Arabia just recently opened its very first Chamber of Commerce office in Miami, further signaling the growing links between Gulf capital and the Americas.