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Rather than marking a cyclical rebound, 2026 is significantly deemed a combination year, in which diversification-led growth becomes more deeply embedded in the region's economic design, lowering reliance on hydrocarbons and increasing resilience to external shocks. Projections from major institutions broadly assemble on a stronger GCC growth profile in 2026 than in 2025, supported by resistant domestic need, continued non-oil expansion, and (to varying degrees) a firmer hydrocarbon contribution.

ANSR July GCC PRs 50DR+

The World Bank, on the other hand, projects 3.2 percent development in 2025, accelerating to 4.5 percent in 2026. The IMF Sees momentum improving, with GCC output development forecasted to increase from 1.7 percent in 2024 to 3.3 percent on average in 2025, showing a shift toward more positive general conditions.

The IMF's World Economic Outlook (October 2025) jobs international development reducing to 3.1 percent in 2026, with advanced economies around 1.5 percent and emerging market and developing economies just above 4 percent. On that comparison, a 4.44.5 percent GCC growth would place the area materially ahead of the world average and slightly above (or broadly in line with) the emerging-market aggregate, strengthening the GCC's status as a relatively high-growth pocketprovided that local risk conditions stay consisted of and reform momentum holds.

Data from the GCC Statistical Center show that non-oil sectors already account for more than 73 percent of overall GDP, a share that has actually continued to increase as governments broaden investment in services, infrastructure, and technology. According to Oxford Economics, non-energy activity across the GCC is forecasted to grow by around 4.1 percent in 2026, supported by strong labor markets, enhancing credit conditions, and rising investment in technology and AI-related infrastructure.

ANSR July GCC PRs 50DR+

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Public-sector investment and reform remain central to sustaining this pattern. Policy steps focused on bring in foreign direct financial investment, easing foreign ownership rules, expanding capital markets, and supporting private-sector participation continue to underpin non-oil expansion and decrease the region's exposure to oil price volatility. While hydrocarbons no longer control the growth outlook, oil profits are expected to play a helpful function in 2026.

Oxford Economics anticipates Brent crude prices to fall below USD 60 per barrel in early 2026, restricting the near-term contribution of oil extraction to GDP. Oil supply is anticipated to increase again in the 2nd half of the year, with a complete relaxing of remaining production caps most likely by mid-2027.

ANSR July GCC PRs 50DR+

Macroeconomic conditions across the GCC remain broadly encouraging of growth. Inflation is expected to stay low, with the IMF forecasting typical inflation of 2 percent throughout the area in 2026. Stable rates are helping preserve genuine family incomes and underpin consumer spending, which Oxford Economics anticipates to grow by approximately 3.5 percent over 20262027.